On this page
On this page
- Why are homes so expensive in Portugal?
- How much have house prices risen in Portugal?
- How much does a square metre cost in Portugal?
- How much does it cost to rent a home in Portugal?
- How many new homes are built each year in Portugal?
- Are foreigners buying up homes in Portugal?
- What is the effect of immigration on house prices?
- Do the NHR regime and golden visas still exist?
- How much IMT does a non-resident buyer pay?
- What is the 6% VAT on residential construction?
- What support is there for young people buying a home?
- Will house prices fall in Portugal?
- How many homes is Portugal short of?
How to read this page
Each answer summarises what the latest official data say and points to the chapter where the topic is explained with charts and sources. Figures are revised when the sources revise them. This page is information, not financial or investment advice.
Why are homes so expensive in Portugal?
Because for more than a decade Portugal built very few new homes while demand grew fast. Between 2000 and 2010 an average of 79,564 new homes were completed a year; between 2015 and 2025, 16,283Primary sourceINE — Indicador 0013249 — fogos concluídos em construções novas2011–2025 series by type of developer (INE API).Open the original ↗. At the same time the population grew by 824,914 people between 2021 and 2025, almost all through immigrationPrimary sourceINE — Estimativas de População Residente 202511,424,031 residents; +824,914 between 2021 and 2025; 1,597,539 foreign nationals.Open the original ↗.
Construction costs, tourism, short-term rentals, low interest rates until 2021 and foreign demand in some regions added to that imbalance. The Banco de Portugal finds that demand passes through more to prices where supply is more rigidPrimary sourceBanco de Portugal — Amador, «A dinâmica dos preços da habitação e das rendas em Portugal», Revista de Estudos Económicos XII-4Price and rent elasticities to demand; does not isolate migration.Open the original ↗.
Conclusions: what brought us here →
How much have house prices risen in Portugal?
House prices rose 17.6% in 2025, the largest annual rise in the INE series, and 16.5% in Q2 2026 compared with a year earlierPrimary sourceINE — Índice de Preços da Habitação, 4.º trimestre de 2025Prices +17.6% in 2025; 169,812 transactions; purchases by households (148,632) and by non-residents (8,471).Open the original ↗Primary sourceINE — Índice de Preços da Habitação, 2.º trimestre de 2026Prices +16.5% in Q2 2026, year on year; transactions −6.4%.Open the original ↗.
Between 2015 and 2025 the index rose 164% in annual averages, against 53% in the euro area. Eurostat ranks Portugal second in the EU, after HungaryPrimary sourceEurostat — House prices and rents went up in Q4 2025Portugal +180% (Q4 2025 vs 2015), second-highest in the EU.Open the original ↗.
How much does a square metre cost in Portugal?
The median price of homes sold in Q2 2026 was €2,445/m², across 37,854 salesPrimary sourceINE — Estatísticas de Preços da Habitação ao nível local, 2.º trimestre de 2026Median price of €2,445/m² across the 37,854 homes sold in Q2 2026; prices accelerated in 10 of the 24 most populous municipalities.Open the original ↗. This is a national median: values are much higher in Lisbon, Porto and the Algarve, and much lower in the interior.
How much does it cost to rent a home in Portugal?
The median rent on new leases was €9.50/m² in the 12 months to March 2026, more than double the €4.39/m² of 2017Primary sourceINE — Estatísticas de Rendas da Habitação ao nível local, 1.º trimestre de 2026Median of €9.50/m² (12 months) and €9.46/m² (quarter); new series using Tax Authority data.Open the original ↗Secondary sourceidealista/news — Renda mediana dos novos contratos em 2017 (INE)Median rent of €4.39/m² in 2017, earlier INE series.Open the original ↗. In the municipality of Lisbon, the median in Q1 2026 was €17.42/m²Secondary sourceidealista/news — Rendas aceleram e sobem 9,1% no arranque do anoINE data: median rent in Lisbon €17.42/m² (+8.2%) in Q1 2026.Open the original ↗.
How many new homes are built each year in Portugal?
27,301 new homes were completed in 2025, the highest figure since 2011, but still far below the 125,708 of 2002. Licences reached 42,066 dwellings in 2025, which points to more completions in the next few yearsPrimary sourceINE — Indicador 0013249 — fogos concluídos em construções novas2011–2025 series by type of developer (INE API).Open the original ↗Primary sourceINE — Indicador 0008309 — fogos licenciados em construções novasLicences 2002–2025, revised.Open the original ↗.
Are foreigners buying up homes in Portugal?
It depends which foreigners. Buyers with tax residence abroad took about 5% of the homes sold in 2025Primary sourceINE — Índice de Preços da Habitação, 4.º trimestre de 2025Prices +17.6% in 2025; 169,812 transactions; purchases by households (148,632) and by non-residents (8,471).Open the original ↗. Counting also the foreign nationals who live in Portugal, foreign citizens made 27.6% of purchases by households, and most of them live hereSecondary sourceECO — Uma em cada quatro casas vendidas em 2025 foi para mãos estrangeiras41,086 purchases by foreign nationals (households); mortgage lending.Open the original ↗.
The effect of non-residents is mainly local: the Algarve, Lisbon and Madeira. On average they paid more: €335,640 (EU) and €470,277 (outside the EU), against €234,120 for buyers resident in PortugalPrimary sourceINE — Índice de Preços da Habitação, 4.º trimestre de 2025Prices +17.6% in 2025; 169,812 transactions; purchases by households (148,632) and by non-residents (8,471).Open the original ↗.
What is the effect of immigration on house prices?
Immigration was a large demand shock: the population grew by 824,914 people between 2021 and 2025, for 95,294 new homes completed. At 2.5 people per household, that is about 330,000 households (an illustrative calculation)Primary sourceINE — Estimativas de População Residente 202511,424,031 residents; +824,914 between 2021 and 2025; 1,597,539 foreign nationals.Open the original ↗.
The Banco de Portugal estimates that 1% more demand raises prices by 0.52% to 0.64%, but it does not isolate the share due to immigrationPrimary sourceBanco de Portugal — Amador, «A dinâmica dos preços da habitação e das rendas em Portugal», Revista de Estudos Económicos XII-4Price and rent elasticities to demand; does not isolate migration.Open the original ↗. And prices were already rising before the large wave of migration.
Do the NHR regime and golden visas still exist?
Not for new applicants. The Non-Habitual Resident (NHR) regime was closed by the 2024 State Budget and replaced by IFICI, which is narrowerSecondary sourceForvis Mazars — O (quase) fim do RNHEnd of the NHR regime and transitional regime.Open the original ↗. The property route of the golden visa ended in 2023, with the Mais Habitação programme; other routes, such as investment funds, remainSecondary sourceObservador — Fact-check: vistos gold foram só 3% do investimento na compra de casas12,718 permits; €6,450m (2012 – Sep 2023).Open the original ↗.
Chapter 3: NHR and golden visas →
How much IMT does a non-resident buyer pay?
Since 2026, home purchases by non-residents pay a flat IMT (property transfer tax) rate of 7.5%, without exemptions. There are exceptions: the buyer is already tax resident, becomes resident within two years, or rents the home at a moderate rent for at least 36 monthsPrimary sourceDiário da República — Decreto-Lei n.º 97/2026 (IVA a 6%, IMT para não residentes, RSAA)Official text read.Open the original ↗.
Chapter 3: what changed in 2026 →
What is the 6% VAT on residential construction?
It is a reduced VAT rate for building and renovating homes for owner-occupation or rent, for works whose process started between 25 September 2025 and the end of 2029, with ceilings on sale prices and rentsPrimary sourceDiário da República — Decreto-Lei n.º 97/2026 (IVA a 6%, IMT para não residentes, RSAA)Official text read.Open the original ↗Secondary sourceECO — Casas terão de ser vendidas ou arrendadas dois anos após construção para beneficiarem de IVA a 6%Conditions and ceilings for 6% VAT on construction.Open the original ↗. Since a building takes two to four years, the effect on completed homes should only appear from 2027.
Chapter 5: taxes and licensing →
What support is there for young people buying a home?
Young people up to 35 are exempt from IMT and stamp duty on purchases since August 2024Primary sourcePortal das Finanças — Decreto-Lei n.º 48-A/2024 (IMT jovem)Exemption from IMT and stamp duty up to the age of 35.Open the original ↗, and there is a public guarantee on mortgages, increased to €2.3bn, for contracts until the end of 2026Secondary sourceECO — Governo reforça garantia pública para jovens em 750 milhõesIncrease of the guarantee under Decree-Law 44/2024.Open the original ↗. The IMF and the Banco de Portugal warn that this support adds demand without adding supply.
Chapter 6: demand-side policies →
Will house prices fall in Portugal?
No institution publishes five- or ten-year house price forecasts, and this investigation does not either. The IMF considers that prices “look stretched”, but that the risk of a short-term correction is containedSecondary sourceObservador — Preços das casas «parecem esticados», diz o FMIIMF assessment at the Banco de Portugal.Open the original ↗. The Banco de Portugal projects growth in housing investment of about 2% a year until 2028Primary sourceBanco de Portugal — Boletim Económico, outubro de 2026Projections for 2026–28; housing investment +2% a year; energy shock.Open the original ↗.
As long as far fewer homes are built than demand requires, the pressure on prices is likely to remain. The scenarios for 2030 and 2035 are in the conclusions.
Conclusions: three scenarios for 2030 and 2035 →
How many homes is Portugal short of?
A study by the European Commission’s Joint Research Centre estimates that by 2035 Portugal needs about 465,000 new homes, mostly in the Lisbon and Porto regionsSecondary sourceJornal de Negócios — Portugal precisa de mais 180 mil casas na próxima década (estudo JRC)Estimated need up to 2035; original study not yet consulted.Open the original ↗. At the 2025 pace, the decade would produce about 273,000. It is a third-party estimate.