36 questions8 open6 partial15 resolved6 corrected in the text1 being monitored
| ID | Question | Status | Finding | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| V01 | Average earnings in 2015, for the price-to-earnings ratio | Partial | Ratio calculated (≈ +84%); the 2015 value still needs confirming in the INE table. | High |
| V02 | Dwellings completed through renovation and extensions | Resolved | There is no national series for dwellings; the contribution is estimated at no more than 12% in 2025. The claim that renovation "grew strongly" was withdrawn. | High |
| V03 | Isolated contribution of migration (Banco de Portugal, 2026) | Resolved | Study read: it does not isolate migration; 0.69/0.37 is the limiting case of rigid supply. Two corrections. | High |
| V04 | Share of foreign workers in construction | Partial | 117,000 in December 2025; their share of employment in the sector is still missing. | Medium |
| V05 | IMT for non-residents: final rate and approval | Resolved | Flat 7.5%, with exceptions (Decree-Law 97/2026). | Medium |
| V06 | 6% VAT: legislation and entry into force | Resolved | Law 9-A/2026 and Decree-Law 97/2026; works started between 25-09-2025 and 2029. | Medium |
| V07 | AD government changes to IFICI and short-term rentals | Partial | Short-term rentals: Decree-Law 76/2024. IFICI: no substantive changes found. | Medium |
| V08 | 8,471 vs 6,248 non-resident buyers | Resolved | Different populations: tax residence (all sectors) vs foreign nationality (households). | Medium |
| V09 | Independent study of the NHR effect on prices | Open | None found. No quantitative effect is claimed. | Medium |
| V10 | Licensing times before and after Simplex | Open | Still to be investigated. | Medium |
| V11 | 2024 short-term rental legislation and its effect | Partial | Legislation identified (Decree-Law 76/2024); effect still to be measured. | Medium |
| V12 | Effect of changes to the rental law | Open | Still to be investigated. | Medium |
| V13 | Vacant homes in good condition in the metropolitan areas | Open | Still to be investigated. | High |
| V14 | NHR beneficiaries who are returning Portuguese nationals | Open | No source; the claim should be qualified or withdrawn. | Medium |
| N01 | Chart series missing from the original document | Resolved | 9 datasets extracted from the sources. | Blocking |
| N02 | Costs "+32% between 2021 and 2025": base year | Resolved | Base 2020 (+33%). Corrected in v2. | High |
| N03 | +180% (Eurostat) vs +169% (IMF) | Resolved | Same index, different quarters. | Medium |
| N04 | Rents: the comparison with 2017 crosses the series revision | Resolved | INE states that levels show no significant changes; kept as indicative. | High |
| N05 | Population growth since the 2021 Census | Corrected | +824,914 (2021–2025) instead of 1.08 million. | High |
| N06 | Homes completed in the comparable period | Corrected | 95,294 (2022–2025) instead of 115,220. | Low |
| N07 | "One in four" purchases by resident foreign nationals | Corrected | 27.6% for all foreign nationals; 23.4% with tax residence in Portugal. | Medium |
| N08 | Geographical restriction on golden visas (Decree-Law 14/2021) | Partial | Added; the text still needs confirming in the Diário da República. | High |
| N09 | "Passos Coelho opens up short-term rentals" | Corrected | Reworded: a separate legal regime for short-term rentals (Decree-Law 128/2014). | Medium |
| N10 | Governments of 2000–2005 missing from the matrix | Resolved | Guterres, Barroso and Santana Lopes added. | High |
| N11 | Supply policies of the Costa period omitted | Resolved | 1.º Direito, PAA, the Housing Framework Law and the RRP added. | High |
| N12 | Two Montenegro governments and the "Construir Portugal" strategy | Open | Not yet separated in the timeline. | Medium |
| N13 | Rounded averages per government | Resolved | Costa 2016–2023: 120,003 dwellings (15,000 a year). | Medium |
| N14 | The 2026 energy shock | Partial | Confirmed by the Banco de Portugal Economic Bulletin (Oct 2026); a series of energy prices is still missing. | High |
| N15 | Denominator of the 3.1% for golden visas | Open | To be confirmed in the original fact-check. | Medium |
| N16 | Shortfall of 80,000 workers (AICCOPN) | Resolved | Identified as an industry association estimate. | Medium |
| N17 | Overcrowding: "non-Europeans" vs the Eurostat category | Open | Exact label still to be confirmed. | Low |
| N18 | Framing of the 2015 low point | Resolved | Presented without a party-political reading, with a note on the time lag. | Low |
| N19 | 26,714 vs 27,301 homes completed in 2025 | Resolved | Quarterly estimates vs annual count; the annual count is used. | Medium |
| N20 | Mission Structure: 286,000 | Corrected | These are appointments, not regularisations. | High |
| N21 | Dwelling licences revised by INE | Corrected | 2024: 35,371; 2025: 42,066. | Medium |
| N22 | Transfer of AIMA data to INE | Monitoring | The 2025 data may be revised; to be monitored. | Medium |
How to read it
“V” items are the questions listed in the original investigation; “N” items are problems found during verification. Impact shows what happens to the publication if the question remains unresolved.